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Why are you always losing money? 10 psychological biases you need to overcome

王林
Release: 2024-07-10 11:29:58
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Source: KoroushAK Avoid the following at all costs:

1. Anchoring Bias

Traders focus on one price (anchor), which may affect their decision-making.

If Trader A added cryptocurrency when the BTC price was $52,000, then $61,000 of BTC would seem expensive.
  • If Trader B added cryptocurrency when the BTC price was $71,000, then $61,000 of BTC would seem cheap.
2. Recency Bias

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见This is the tendency to remember the latest information most deeply and to value this information.

Traders may carry information from recent trades into the next trade, which can lead to overconfidence and losses.

3. Loss Aversion

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见Traders feel losses more strongly than gains.

The pain of losing $100 may be greater than the joy of making $100.

This bias can cause traders to give up on profits prematurely because they fear those gains will turn into losses.

4. Endowment Effect

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见When traders hold an asset, they tend to overestimate its value.

This emotional attachment makes it difficult for them to sell at a loss, or even to sell at a fair price, because they rely more on their own expectations rather than actual market conditions to judge the future price of the asset.

5. Herd Mentality

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见Whether you blindly follow the crowd or deliberately go against the grain, there are risks.

Stick to your own trading plan and avoid acting impulsively due to the behavior of the public.

The behavior of the public should only be considered when conducting objective market sentiment analysis.

6. Availability Heuristic

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见Traders tend to give too much weight to the most emotionally intense or recent information.

For example, a recent market crash may make traders overly cautious, even if market conditions have changed.

7. Survivorship Bias

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见Systematically overestimating the probability of success.

What we often see are success stories, while failure stories are often forgotten.

8. Framing Effect

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见The way information is presented will affect decision-making.

Traders’ emotions and self-confidence affect their risk assessment.

Positive emotions may lead to underestimation of risks, while negative emotions may lead to overestimation of risks.

9. Confirmation Bias

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见Traders tend to look for data that supports their beliefs.

If you are bullish on an asset, you will look for all the information that supports the bullishness of the asset and ignore the bearish data.

10. Captain Hindsight

为什么总是在亏?你需要克服的 10 大心理偏见In hindsight, everything is obvious.

After an incident occurs, traders often feel that they have foreseen the outcome.

This bias can lead to overconfidence in future predictions and unrealistic expectations about one's own trading abilities.

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source:chaincatcher.com
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