Cardano (ADA) Price Skyrockets 2% as Charles Hoskinson Reveals Chang Hard Fork Is 'Basically There'

ADA's gains today follow the Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson's update on the Cardano's progress and the upcoming Chang hard fork.

Cardano (ADA) price showed a strong start to the week, rising over 2% and recouping all the losses made on Sunday (July 7). This price growth comes as a response to a shift in investor sentiment toward the layer-1 token.

ADA’s gains come despite the wider crypto market remaining largely bearish. For instance, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), the top two cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, dropped by approximately 1.89% and 0.79%, respectively.

At the time of writing, ADA trades at $0.3725. But what’s driving ADA’s price up today? Let’s find out.

Cardano founder reveals Chang Hard Fork Is ‘basically there’

ADA’s gains follow the Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson’s update on the Cardano’s progress and the upcoming Chang hard fork. Speaking in an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session on July 7, Hoskinson described the ongoing efforts and milestones, adding that the Cardano Chang Hard Fork is almost ready.

Reflecting on the challenges and achievements the Cardano ecosystem has been through over the past years, he acknowledges that “it’s been a very long last few years,” noting that despite getting “jammed up in a few things,” the ecosystem has managed to overcome these obstacles, particularly in governance.

Hoskinson highlighted the completion of all elements of CIP 1694 as an important accomplishment, taking about two years to finalize but essential for Cardano’s architecture.

At the core of Hoskinson’s update was the announcement that node 9.0, which is essential for the Chang hard fork, is nearly complete. The Chang hard fork is expected to introduce the Voltaire era, marking the final stage of Cardano's roadmap to create a fully decentralized blockchain ecosystem, which has been “two years in the making.”

The Historical Performance Hints at a Potential Rally

ADA’s price has historically seen a significant rally in the lead-up to major network upgrades. For instance, in the run-up to its last major upgrade in 2021, ADA’s price soared by 130%, moving from $1.35 to $3.10 within a month.

This performance has raised expectations that the upcoming Chang hard fork could catalyze a substantial price rally for ADA.

Cardano network growth

ADA’s upside potential could also be linked to the growth the Cardano network has experienced over the last month. Data from IntoTheBlock shows that the number of active addresses on the Cardano blockchain have increased from 21,560 on June 17 to the current value of 36,700.

Similarly, new addresses have climbed from 6,110 wallets to 10,420 over the same period.

Additional data from IntoTheBlock reveals that addresses holding 10 million-100 million ADA have risen from 356 addresses in early February to approximately 400 at the time of publication.

This suggests that the 10 million-100 million ADA holders have been boosting their buying in 2024, expressing their confidence in the long-term potential of the token’s price.

That is further visible in the net capital flows across crypto asset funds last week. Cardano funds received $100 million during the week ending July 5, bringing the year-to-date inflows to 9 million, according to CoinShares weekly report.

ADA’s bullish divergence

Finally, ADA’s rise today precedes a period of growing bullish divergence between its price and the relative strength index (RSI).

ADA’s price dropped between June 17 and July 7, forming lower lows. But, in the same period, its daily RSI ascended, forming higher lows.

As a rule of technical analysis, a divergence between falling prices and rising RSI indicates strength in the prevailing uptrend, prompting traders to buy more at local dips.

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