Bitcoin has never failed to log a new all-time high at every halving phase.
Bitcoin price has been rallying significantly since the beginning of 2024, and many investors are wondering if the top crypto asset will finally break its all-time high (ATH) this year. Several analysts have been closely monitoring Bitcoin’s 52-week moving average (MA) line, which seems to be signaling the second phase of the new BTC bull market.
Etoro “Elite Popular Investor” Steven Budgen thinks that Bitcoin may be on its way to surpassing its ATH. Currently, the record peak of the digital asset stands at $73,750.07, which it achieved on March 14 this year.
Bitcoin is yet to match its highest price after the halving last April 20. However, a glance at the chart shows that its 52-week MA line is already at its peak. If we take into account the second phase of the new cycle’s BTC bull market, which is signaled by the 52-week MA line, and combine that with the historical price actions of the digital asset, then we can see how this signals the second phase.
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Bitcoin’s 52-Week MA
When determining the price trend of an asset, analysts commonly use the MA technical indicator. This indicator displays the average change in a data series over a set period of time, which can be anything from a few minutes to several years. It helps to smooth out price fluctuations and identify the general direction of the market.
Budgen’s analysis suggests that the technical readings are pointing to the second phase of the new cycle’s BTC bull market based on the digital asset’s historical price actions. This analysis seems to be panning out, as Bitcoin has shown strength in recent weeks and is now trading close to its ATH.
If Bitcoin manages to break through its ATH, it will be a major technical development that could spark further buying interest in the cryptocurrency. However, it's important to note that the market is always subject to change and unforeseen events could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
BeInCrypto's Latest Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis, News, Prices, and Prediction
Budgen, who is known for his bold crypto price projections, made the forecast on X, where he noted that BTC has a “good chance” of breaking out back to ATH by August. This projection comes earlier than the September and October projections made by other experts.
I think #Bitcoin has a good chance of breaking out here back to ATH. I didn't think it would be until Sept/Oct but strong possibility of August now.
BTC Weekly chart with 52 Week MA line now at ATH which historically has signalled the second phase of the Bitcoin bull market
bull pic.twitter.com/2QRxHIGz0k
— Steven Budgen (@stevenbudgen) August 3, 2024
Budgen also reported that June was a tough month for cryptocurrencies. He mainly attributed their dismal performance, particularly of Bitcoin, to the massive selling pressure caused by the German Saxony Government's wallet address and the negative sentiment brought about by the Mt. Gox repayments.
On the bright side, the market was able to absorb the tension as it kept its foothold on the $55K support. As of 5:15 AM UTC, Bitcoin is down by more than 2% in the 24-hour chart as it trades around the $64.5K range.
Budgen, who has 13.6K followers in his eToro portfolio, is also bullish on SUI, a token that is currently ranked third in his portfolio. He noted that he has been gradually increasing his SUI position over the past couple of months.
According to Budgen, he doesn't think that SUI will be like Solana (SOL) of the last cycle, but he has a “huge amount of conviction” about how the SUI team continues to build its ecosystem. He added that SUI's price has been driven down by unlocking events from venture capitalists (VCs) coupled with the influence of the dip in Bitcoin and crypto values lately.
Despite the recent sell-off in SUI, which saw the token fall by 3% in the 24-hourの時間帯 and currently trades around $0.084, Budgen sees this as a favorable entry point and is dollar cost averaging into it for a sizeable position.
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