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5 Reasons Why Bitcoin (BTC) Price Might Be on the Verge of a Vast Rally

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Release: 2024-07-20 00:23:51
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5 Reasons Why Bitcoin (BTC) Price Might Be on the Verge of a Vast Rally

The realm of Bitcoin (BTC) is not unfamiliar with volatility and speculation. Recent events, on the other hand, indicate the possibility of a turning point

Recent events in the cryptocurrency market have sparked speculation about a potential turning point for Bitcoin (BTC). Here are five reasons why the price of BTC might be on the verge of experiencing a vast rally:

1. Capitulation of Miners: Recent data suggests that Bitcoin miners are facing immense pressure, and a capitulation of miners often indicates that the market has reached its bottom. The True Hashrate Drawdown of Bitcoin reached 7.6%, which is comparable to the levels during the time when Bitcoin was trading at $16,000 following the FTX collapse.

This level of capitulation indicates that weaker miners are being forced to shut down their operations, a phenomenon that has historically occurred before a recovery in the price of Bitcoin. As these miners cease their activities, the selling pressure they exert on the market begins to diminish, facilitating the potential for a price recovery.

2. Conclusion of the Bitcoin Selloff in Germany: The German government recently ended its massive Bitcoin selloff, which began on June 19 and spanned three weeks. During this period, the market absorbed over $3.5 billion in Bitcoin liquidations.

Despite the immense selling pressure, Bitcoin's price remained relatively stable at around $58,000. This resilience amidst massive selloffs serves as a strong indication of the strength present beneath the market's surface.

On the social media platform X, prominent crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted this endurance in his remarks, emphasizing that the markets had absorbed this vast downward pressure. While it is not anticipated that the German government will engage in any future sell-offs, the absence of this significant negative pressure may pave the way for an upward climb in the price of Bitcoin. The trend has already begun, with the cost of Bitcoin rising above $60,000.

3. Accumulation by All Bitcoin Whales: Whale behavior often plays a crucial role in the cryptocurrency markets, and recent data indicates a bullish trend. According to data from blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin whales have acquired an additional 71,000 BTC in the past week. This group of whales capitalized on the downturn brought about by the German selloff.

As a result of this substantial accumulation, the total volume of whale transactions on the Bitcoin network reached an astounding $41.32 billion. The weekly spike in whale transactions remained strong despite a decrease in the 24-hour rate of change by 8%.

This vast accumulation by large holders is depleting the supply of Bitcoin, which often leads to an increase in its price.

4. Global Inflows Into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in Bitcoin have seen remarkable capital inflows across the globe. Since the end of June, exchange-traded funds in Hong Kong saw a 28.6% increase in their holdings, reaching 4,941 BTC as of July 13.

The Monochrome Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (IBTC) in Australia has garnered much attention and is nearing the 100 BTC mark.

Meanwhile, in the United States, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds saw net inflows of over $1.1 billion in just one week, marking the highest-ever weekly inflow.

This surge in investments in exchange-traded funds showcases the growing appetite for Bitcoin among institutions. It could lead to an increase in the price of BTC as more capital enters the market.

5. High Probability of a Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut: The United States Federal Reserve is signaling and economic indicators that suggest a high probability of a rate cut, which could significantly impact the price of Bitcoin.

Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone anticipates that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates as a response to a reversal in economic conditions in the United States.

Based on historical comparisons, the first-rate reduction occurred in September 2007, following the aggressive rate hikes from 2004 to 2006. Similarly, a rate cut is projected for September, following the previous rate hikes of 525 basis points from the first quarter of 2022.

The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 90.3% probability of a rate cut in September. However, June's Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in higher, suggesting that inflation is still strong.

When interest rates are lowered, the US dollar tends to weaken, leading to an increased interest from investors in alternative assets like Bitcoin. As a result, the price of BTC can experience a vast increase.

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source:kdj.com
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