Bitcoin [BTC] roared back to life after visiting the liquidity pool at the $64k zone. The price slump reversed within a few hours, and the $69k liquidity zone was the next short-term target.
Bitcoin [BTC] visited the $64k liquidity pool and price dropped sharply. However, the slump was reversed within a few hours, and the $69k liquidity zone became the next short-term target.
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), IntoTheBlock noted that there was a strong net flow of BTC into exchanges. This could indicate a wave of selling and hint at a price reversal in the coming days.
Bearish market structure highlights trader bias
The 3-day price chart showed a session close below $56.5k on 5 July, forming a bearish structure break. The previous lower high at $72k remained unbeaten.
Based on an earlier analysis, the $69k liquidity pool was an area where a bearish reversal could occur soon.
The RSI on the 3-day chart was at 56 but did not show strong bullish momentum. It hinted that momentum might be shifting bullishly. However, the CMF was at +0.01 and did not reflect strong capital inflows.
Overall, the bias was bearish on the 3-day chart, but this could change if the $72k level was breached.
BTC speculators were eager to go long
In the past 24 hours, the price reversal from $64k was accompanied by a sharp rise in Open Interest. It indicated strong bullish sentiment in the short-term and a sign of conviction among speculators of more gains.
On the other hand, the spot CVD was unable to establish an uptrend. This indicated a lack of buying pressure despite the price bounce and reinforced the idea of a bearish reversal.
The 30-day MVRV was at 7.6%, showing short-term holders were at a modest profit. A continued increase in the MVRV signaled potential selling pressure in the form of profit-taking by the short-term holders.
The 90-day mean coin age (MCA) has not trended downward despite the price drop. It was a sign that holders were not willing to part with their BTC, which hinted at a continued bullish trend.
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25
Putting all the clues together, it appeared likely that Bitcoin would see a reversal around the $69k zone. If the MCA begins to fall, it would reinforce this idea.
Instead, if the MCA and the spot CVD trend upward again, it would be a clue that BTC bulls were strong enough to drive prices past the $69k liquidity pool.
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