Home web3.0 Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

Jul 31, 2024 pm 04:47 PM

Author: John Byrne-Murdoch, Oliver Lord

Source: FT Chinese

US Vice President Kamala Harris (left) and Donald Trump general. Harris has made gains among nearly every demographic group since President Joe Biden dropped out of the election

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris has made gains in nearly every demographic group, according to a Financial Times analysis of the latest data. Less than a week into the presidential campaign, he tied former President Donald Trump in the polls.

President Joe Biden dropped out of the race on July 21 after a poor performance in a debate with Trump a few weeks ago and immediately expressed his support for Harris. Since then, she has all but erased the Democrats' disadvantage relative to their rivals in national polls, according to a Financial Times average of poll results.

While Biden trailed Trump by 3 percentage points on the day he dropped out of the presidential race, Harris and the former president are currently neck and neck in national support.

Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

The U.S. election is ultimately decided by the Electoral College, so it can also be said to be decided by a small number of winner-take-all "battleground" states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

In all six key battlegrounds, Harris’ recent polls are 1 to 3 percentage points higher than before Biden dropped out of the race more than a week ago. Biden exited the race trailing by two points or more in each of those six states, while Harris is now tied 50-50 with Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin and with Trump in Nevada, Pennsylvania and Arizona The difference is within one percentage point. Statistically, all states are in a stalemate.

Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

According to apples-to-apples comparisons from numerous pollsters, Harris has made gains among nearly every demographic group since Biden dropped out. In particular, her support has increased among blacks, Latinos, young and female voters, and independents. Only one group - voters over 50 - saw a slight decline in support.

Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

Forecast traders tracking this competition closely noticed these changes. Harris' price on two prediction markets, Polymarket and PredictIt, has surpassed her pre-Biden debate price, although they still rate her slightly worse than Trump, whose price surged after the July 13 assassination attempt. .

Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

With less than 100 days until the election, Harris has injected significant enthusiasm into the previously demoralized Democratic Party.

In this race where turnout is crucial, Harris’ candidacy has also revived enthusiasm among Democratic voters. A Financial Times analysis of polls shows that 73% of people who voted for Biden in 2020 said they were "excited" to vote for Harris, while only 37% said they were excited to vote for Biden again. . In addition, the proportion of voters who voted for Biden in 2020 who planned not to vote this time dropped from 10% to 3%.

Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls

With renewed enthusiasm comes generous fundraising. Harris' campaign announced on Sunday that it had raised $200 million in less than a week, two-thirds of which came from first-time donations.

The above is the detailed content of Harris is neck-and-neck with Trump in general election polls. For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!

Statement of this Website
The content of this article is voluntarily contributed by netizens, and the copyright belongs to the original author. This site does not assume corresponding legal responsibility. If you find any content suspected of plagiarism or infringement, please contact admin@php.cn

Hot AI Tools

Undresser.AI Undress

Undresser.AI Undress

AI-powered app for creating realistic nude photos

AI Clothes Remover

AI Clothes Remover

Online AI tool for removing clothes from photos.

Undress AI Tool

Undress AI Tool

Undress images for free

Clothoff.io

Clothoff.io

AI clothes remover

Video Face Swap

Video Face Swap

Swap faces in any video effortlessly with our completely free AI face swap tool!

Hot Tools

Notepad++7.3.1

Notepad++7.3.1

Easy-to-use and free code editor

SublimeText3 Chinese version

SublimeText3 Chinese version

Chinese version, very easy to use

Zend Studio 13.0.1

Zend Studio 13.0.1

Powerful PHP integrated development environment

Dreamweaver CS6

Dreamweaver CS6

Visual web development tools

SublimeText3 Mac version

SublimeText3 Mac version

God-level code editing software (SublimeText3)

Hot Topics

Java Tutorial
1664
14
PHP Tutorial
1268
29
C# Tutorial
1241
24
OM Mantra Cryptocurrency Crashes 90%, Team Allegedly Dumps 90% of Token Supply OM Mantra Cryptocurrency Crashes 90%, Team Allegedly Dumps 90% of Token Supply Apr 14, 2025 am 11:26 AM

In a devastating blow to investors, the OM Mantra cryptocurrency has collapsed by approximately 90% in the past 24 hours, with the price plummeting to $0.58.

Nasdaq Files to List VanEck Avalanche (AVAX) Trust ETF Nasdaq Files to List VanEck Avalanche (AVAX) Trust ETF Apr 11, 2025 am 11:04 AM

This new financial instrument would track the token's market price, with a third-party custodian holding the underlying AVAX

TrollerCat ($TCAT) Stands Out as a Dominant Force in the Meme Coin Market TrollerCat ($TCAT) Stands Out as a Dominant Force in the Meme Coin Market Apr 14, 2025 am 10:24 AM

Have you noticed the meteoric rise of meme coins in the cryptocurrency world? What started as an online joke has quickly evolved into a lucrative investment opportunity

Zcash (ZEC) Reaches a High of $35.69 as a Record Amount of Tokens Move Out of Circulation Zcash (ZEC) Reaches a High of $35.69 as a Record Amount of Tokens Move Out of Circulation Apr 09, 2025 am 10:36 AM

Zcash was one of the top gainers during the latest market rally, reaching a high of $35.69 as traders moved a record amount of tokens out of circulation.

Is Wall Street Quietly Backing Solana? $42 Million Bet Says Yes Is Wall Street Quietly Backing Solana? $42 Million Bet Says Yes Apr 10, 2025 pm 12:43 PM

A group of former Kraken executives acquired U.S.-listed company Janover, which secured $42 million in venture capital funding to begin building a Solana (SOL) treasury.

The Crypto Market Has Witnessed a Rebound Following the Recent Sheer Downturn The Crypto Market Has Witnessed a Rebound Following the Recent Sheer Downturn Apr 13, 2025 am 11:40 AM

The crypto market has witnessed a rebound following the recent sheer downturn. As per the exclusive market data, the total crypto market capitalization has reached $2.71Ts

As Fear Drives Selling, BlockDAG (BDAG) Stands Out from the Crowd As Fear Drives Selling, BlockDAG (BDAG) Stands Out from the Crowd Apr 13, 2025 am 11:48 AM

As fear drives selling in the crypto market, major coins like Cardano and Solana face tough times.

US Senate Draft Legislation Threatens to Hit Data Centers Serving Blockchain Networks and Artificial Intelligence Models with Fees US Senate Draft Legislation Threatens to Hit Data Centers Serving Blockchain Networks and Artificial Intelligence Models with Fees Apr 12, 2025 am 09:54 AM

The draft bill purportedly aims to address environmental impacts from rising energy demand and protect households from higher energy bills