Will new energy vehicles dominate in 2035? Will car exhaust become a thing of the past?

【ITBEAR】According to news on August 12, an important domestic policy document recently put forward clear requirements in promoting the green transformation of transportation, with special emphasis on the promotion and application of low-carbon transportation tools. According to the policy content, new energy vehicles will become the focus of future development, and it is planned to promote the comprehensive electrification of urban public service vehicles. At the same time, the policy also encourages ships, aircraft and non-road mobile machinery to adopt cleaner power sources, accelerate the elimination of old transportation tools, and actively promote zero-emission freight transportation. In addition, the research and development and application of sustainable aviation fuels will also be strengthened, and the development and production of net-zero emission marine fuels will be encouraged. According to ITBEAR, the policy sets a clear goal: by 2030, the carbon emission intensity per unit turnover of operating transportation vehicles needs to decrease by approximately 9.5% compared to 2020. By 2035, new energy vehicles will occupy the mainstream position in the new sales vehicle market. Previously, relevant reports have pointed out that exhaust emissions from fuel vehicles are the main source of air pollution. Taking Beijing as an example, the latest round of source analysis report of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) shows that mobile sources are the main contributors to local emission pollution, accounting for as much as 46%, with emissions from diesel and gasoline vehicles dominating. Data show that as of the end of 2023, the number of cars in Beijing has exceeded 6.4 million. The number of passenger cars per capita in the city is about 1.5 times that of cities such as Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, and the number of motor vehicles per capita in the core area is more than twice that of international metropolises such as Tokyo and London. This data is consistent with the implementation of the small passenger car ownership policy. It is derived from the background of the passenger car index control policy and the slowdown in the growth rate of small cars. Environmental experts illustrate the significant advantages of new energy vehicles in reducing emissions through examples: Assuming that a fuel car travels 11,000 kilometers a year, it will consume about 1 ton of fuel and emit about 2.5 tons of carbon dioxide; if it is replaced by new energy If you use a car, it can reduce at least 1.5 tons of carbon dioxide emissions. In terms of the emission of pollutants such as particulate matter and nitrogen oxides, new energy vehicles have demonstrated the obvious advantage of "zero emission".

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