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Binance Coin (BNB) Faces Potential Correction Before Q4 Rally: Here's What to Expect

Linda Hamilton
Release: 2024-09-30 12:42:21
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Binance Coin [BNB], the fourth-largest coin by market cap, has recently gained attention following the release of former Binance CEO, CZ

Binance Coin (BNB) Faces Potential Correction Before Q4 Rally: Here's What to Expect

Binance Coin (BNB) has grabbed attention recently following the release of former Binance CEO, CZ, who was detained for four months due to U.S. money laundering allegations.

His release sparked market movement in BNB, with a surge that was followed by a spike in liquidations, causing an instant local reversal in most BNB pairs.

This begs the question: will BNB correct before climbing higher in Q4, a period typically bullish for crypto markets?

A closer look at the BNB/USDT pair could provide some insight into the potential price direction.

BNB has been in an uptrend for 3 weeksNow, let's zoom out and take a look at the longer-term price trend.

On the 4-hour chart, which provides a balanced view of both short-term and long-term price movements, BNB has been in a solid uptrend for three weeks.

Hitting the $620 level recently, the price action seems to be pausing in the uptrend, signaling a potential correction.

This is further supported by the formation of a double top at the $620 mark, which could lead to a retracement if the price breaks below the double top's neckline.

If the price does break down from the double top, BNB could correct down to the $560 level, or even as low as $540, which represents the equilibrium of the 4-hour price movement over the last three weeks.

The $560 price level also coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level, which often acts as support during healthy trends like this one.

Considering the overall bullish outlook for the crypto market in Q4, a retracement to $560 could present an ideal buying opportunity, with the potential for BNB to climb to $800, yielding a 40% return on investment.

Net longs, shorts delta & open interestsApart from BNB price action, other metrics like net longs shorts delta, open interest, and whale vs retail delta also hint at a potential correction.

These indicators, which reached peak levels at 100%, have recently dipped, with the global average now around 82%.

The net longs shorts delta for BNB, which tracks the balance between buyers and sellers, has dropped from its peak and currently stands at 86%, indicating reduced buyer momentum.

Meanwhile, open interest has dropped to 89%, further supporting the possibility of a correction.

The whale vs retail delta, which tracks large holders’ buying versus retail traders, has seen a drastic decline.

Over the last three months, whale dominance over retail traders has dropped nearly 40%. This indicates that whales are becoming less active, which often signals an impending market pullback.

BNB's recent price movements and market metrics suggest a correction could happen soon. However, a strong uptrend suggests the $560 level might present a good entry point for traders. From there, BNB has the potential to rise higher, possibly reaching $800.

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