Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] ended September on a volatile note, with both assets experiencing declines. Short-position traders dominated the market
Both Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] ended September on a mixed note, with both assets experiencing declines. Short-position traders seemed to dominate the market, driving long liquidation volumes higher.
However, the absence of a significant sell-off seemed to indicate a positive sign for the market.
Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest drops
As highlighted by CryptoQuant, both Bitcoin and Ethereum’s open interest (OI) saw noticeable declines during the last trading session. Bitcoin’s open interest dropped from $18.6 billion to $18.1 billion, indicating that traders were closing futures positions.
This decrease in OI, as a rule, signals lower liquidity, volatility, and interest in derivatives trading, which can potentially lead to a long/short squeeze.
Source: CryptoQuant
Similarly, Ethereum’s open interest also saw a slight decline, albeit less significant than Bitcoin’s. At the time of writing, BTC’s open interest has bounced back to $18.3 billion, and ETH’s OI has risen to $9.4 billion, reflecting renewed market activity.
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices follow OI trends
The drop in open interest had a direct impact on both Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. Bitcoin experienced a 3.50% decline, falling from $65,600 to $63,301, dipping below its 200-day moving average.
Source: TradingView
Similarly, Ethereum dropped by 2.13%, moving from $2,657 to $2,601, staying below its 200-day moving average but still above the 50-day moving average.
Source: TradingView
At the time of writing, both assets have shown a slight rebound with Bitcoin trading at $63,789 and showing a 0.7% increase, while Ethereum gained over 1%, trading around $2,639.
Exchange flows remain stable
Despite the recent declines, there hasn’t been a major sell-off. Data from CryptoQuant showed that Bitcoin recorded a negative exchange flow, indicating a balanced flow of BTC into and out of exchanges.
On the other hand, Ethereum saw a slight increase in exchange inflows, with 14,000 ETH flowing into exchanges during the last trading session.
However, this volume was not enough to trigger a major sell-off. At the time of writing, the flow has turned negative again, with over 23,000 ETH being withdrawn from exchanges, signaling reduced selling pressure.
Read Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024-25
Conclusion
While Bitcoin and Ethereum faced notable declines in the final days of September, the lack of a major sell-off and the slight price rebound suggested a relatively stable market.
Open interest trends and exchange flows indicated that investors were not rushing to exit their positions, showing potential for recovery in the near term.
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