This downturn has created a sense of uncertainty among investors, who find themselves at a crossroads about the asset's future trajectory.
Bitcoin (BTC) price remained largely unchanged on Thursday and Friday, following a significant drop earlier in the week that was mainly attributed to rising geopolitical tensions, particularly the escalating conflict between Israel and Lebanon.
This downturn created a sense of uncertainty among investors, who were left wondering about the asset’s future trajectory. However, some analysts remained optimistic that Bitcoin was still on track for substantial growth.
On Friday, pseudonymous crypto analyst Plan C noted that mentions of “Uptober” this year were down considerably compared to previous years, indicating increased bearish sentiment among traders.
“Unlike previous years, mentions of ‘Uptober’ have dropped massively this year, painting a picture of increasing bearishness among traders,” the analysts stated.
“Interestingly, the lack of optimism opens the door for (at least) a short-term bounce.”
According to Plan C, reaching $1 million per Bitcoin is a realistic possibility based on advanced statistical models.
“$1,000,000 Bitcoin is NOT a fantasy… according to the most advanced current statistical models; it is a highly probable outcome.” He tweeted.
His analysis involves a robust fair value model that examines 747,614 data points at 10-minute intervals, projecting Bitcoin’s fair value to hit approximately $1,004,538 by January 1, 2034. Meanwhile, its current fair value is estimated at around $67,748.
Utilizing 50% quantile regression, the predicted value is positioned at the median, allowing for potential fluctuations above and below this figure.
“The real fun hasn’t even started yet,” he added, suggesting that Bitcoin is precisely on track compared to previous cycles.
Other experts have also expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s future price potential. In an interview last month, investment strategist and author of Broken Money Lyn Alden suggested that BTC could reach $1 million within the next eleven years, driven by growing adoption of the cryptocurrency.
Alden also posited that the asset might eventually surpass gold’s $17 trillion market cap, becoming a leading asset. Her outlook aligns with that of Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, who has previously forecasted Bitcoin reaching this milestone, albeit by 2035.
Samson Mow, a prominent Bitcoin advocate and CEO JAN3 has also expressed his expectation that Bitcoin will soar to $1 million. In January, he identified two key factors that could drive this surge including the Bitcoin halving and the approval of spot BTC ETFs by the SEC.
Last month, he reaffirmed his position, responding to critics of his $1 million forecast and maintaining his confidence in Bitcoin’s potential for significant growth.
“What’s with people commenting that my $1.0M Bitcoin call is dangerous? LOL! What’s the danger?” he tweeted. Mow argued that concerns about the potential risks of investing in Bitcoin reflect a misunderstanding of its value proposition, highlighting a growing optimism in the asset’s future.
At press time, BTC traded at $62,192, up 0.55% over the past 24 hours.
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