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Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index Touches 37 As Investors Become Uncertain

Susan Sarandon
Release: 2024-10-06 15:56:15
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In contrast to popular bullish sentiments, Bitcoin began October on a bearish note, recording a price decline of over 7% in the first three days of the month.

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index Touches 37 As Investors Become Uncertain

Bitcoin began October on a bearish note, recording a price decline of over 7% in the first three days of the month. But while the BTC market experienced an uptick on Friday as data from the US Labor Department signaled incoming rate cuts, investors have generally retained a cautionary approach.

Bitcoin price began the new month of October on a bearish note, showing signs of struggle to maintain the bullish momentum that saw the asset hit new all-time highs (ATH) in September. At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is up 2.17% over the past 24 hours, trading at $62,071.

However, over the past three days of the month, BTC price has recorded a loss of 7.16%. This decline comes as the asset hit a new local top on September 28, failing to break past the $63,000 resistance level.

Now, as Bitcoin price experiences a slight recovery following the bearish sentiments at the start of the month,鏈接至外部站点。 Chain analysis platform CryptoQuant has revealed some interesting trends. According to the platform’s data, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, which measures investor sentiments, now signals ‘Fear.’

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index signals ‘Fear’ following recent price slump

The Fear and Greed Index generally measures the emotions, moods, and behaviors of the crypto market as well as predicts potential trends based on investor sentiment. The index operates on a 0-100 scale, where values above 50 indicate greed, with anything over 74 representing extreme greed, while values below 50 signal fear, and under 24, extreme fear.

According to maartunn, an analyst on CryptoQuant, the Fear and Greed Index is currently at 37, indicating that many investors are cautious about adding the leading cryptocurrency to their portfolio. In particular, the analyst notes that each time the Fear and Greed Index reached the fear level since 2023, Bitcoin’s price has formed a bottom, i.e. reached the lowest point during a price decline, and is set for price reversal.

Bitcoin price might have already bottomed out as it begins to form a recovery from the fear level, which could see the asset rally to new highs before the end of the year. However, it cannot be said that the price bottom has now occurred as Bitcoin’s daily chart shows the asset is still far above its next significant support level following months of consolidation between $55,000 – 70,000.

Bitcoin price is now facing resistance at the $63,000 level, which has caused the asset to begin forming lower highs on the daily chart. If BTC price fails to break past this resistance level soon, it could begin forming a double top pattern, which will invalidate any bullish expectations for the month.

Stablecoin activity supports fear, uncertainty among investors

In addition to the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index of 37, the crypto market has also experienced an increase in the market activity of stablecoins namely the Tether USD (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC). This development indicates that investors are opting for less volatile assets than risky coins such as Bitcoin, which is often due to uncertainty and fear of impending price crash.

A CryptoQuant analyst known as BaroVirtual has attributed this fear to several factors including weak retail market participation, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, as well as the SEC’s hesitation to launch a Spot Ethereum ETF Options. At the same time, another analyst has noted that the options market is also showing signs of fear among traders.

According to the analyst, the options Put/Call Open Interest Ratio, which measures the total amount of bearish (Put) options relative to bullish (Call) options, has shown a bullish bias throughout the recent bull market. But now, as Bitcoin price hit new highs and began to consolidate, the Put/Call OI Ratio has shown a bearish bias.

This development suggests that options traders are now expecting a price bottom to occur soon, which will see the asset begin to rally to new highs before the end of the year. However, if the options market continues to show bearish sentiments, it could indicate that the recent bullish momentum may fizzle out soon.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin continues to exchange hands at 62,071 following a 2.17% gain in the last day. Meanwhile, the token’s daily trading volume is down 17.91% and valued at $29.71 billion.

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