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Kamala Harris' Mention of Crypto Regulation Shows Just How Eager Investors Are to Jump in if They See Any Hint of Regulatory Clarity

Mary-Kate Olsen
Release: 2024-10-16 13:30:25
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Her statement, while thin on details, managed to ignite investor excitement and move billions of dollars in crypto assets.

Kamala Harris' Mention of Crypto Regulation Shows Just How Eager Investors Are to Jump in if They See Any Hint of Regulatory Clarity

Kamala Harris’ brief mention of crypto regulation for Black men in her speech at the virtual Black Economic Forum managed to ignite investor excitement and move billions of dollars in crypto assets.

Her statement, which lacked specific details, caused Bitcoin (BTC) to spike by more than 5% and Ethereum (ETH) to jump by 7%. Altcoins also followed the trend. This marked the biggest one-day market rally in nearly two months.

On top of that, investors poured $555 million into Bitcoin ETFs on the same day — the largest inflow in four months.

Harris included crypto in her agenda, aiming to enable Black men who hold digital assets to benefit from financial innovation. More than 20% of Black Americans have owned or currently own crypto.

“I’m not close enough to the campaign to know what she meant exactly,” said Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. “I’ve seen folks who claim to have the inside track argue both sides. From my seat, you can only know one thing for sure: The statement shows Harris recognizes that crypto matters enough to an important demographic that she’ll take the time to call it out.”

Hougan described Harris’ statement as a “Rorschach test.” If you're anti-crypto, you can interpret her words as pushing for stricter regulations in the name of protecting investors.

If you're pro-crypto, you can see her offering a way forward for the industry with the promise of regulatory clarity. Either way, Harris sent a message that crypto matters.

Harris vs. Trump: Polling and crypto implications

The presidential race remains tight, with many polls showing Harris and opponent Donald Trump neck and neck, having only three weeks left before the election.

An NBC News poll showed both candidates tied at 48% among registered voters, while 4% of voters remain undecided. Another poll by Morning Consult gave Harris a slight edge, with a 4-point lead over Trump. But her lead has narrowed compared to earlier in the race as Trump gained ground, particularly in key battleground states.

A Harvard CAPS/Harris poll showed Harris at 51% and Trump at 49%. Similarly, a YouGov/Economist poll showed Harris with a 3-point lead, capturing 47% of the vote compared to Trump’s 44%.

Polls from key swing states paint a more complicated picture. In Arizona, Trump leads Harris with 68% of the vote compared to her 32%. In Georgia, Trump holds a 64% to 36% lead. In Pennsylvania, Trump is ahead with 57%, while Harris trails with 43%.

But Harris is leading in Nevada, where she holds 51% compared to Trump’s 49%. Michigan and Wisconsin remain tight, with Trump slightly ahead.

Michigan polls show Trump with 54% of the vote compared to Harris' 46%, and in Wisconsin, Trump leads with 53% to Harris' 47%.

Betting markets tell a different story from the polls. On blockchain-based Polymarket, Trump holds a 57.9% chance of winning, compared to Harris' 41.9%. Other platforms like PredictIt give Trump a 54% chance of winning, with Harris trailing in the mid-40s. Interestingly, nearly 10% of Republicans are reportedly considering voting for Harris.

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