Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Justin Bennett Warns the Rally Might not be Ready for Takeoff

Despite Bitcoin's (BTC) recent surge above $68,000, a prominent crypto analyst is cautioning that the cryptocurrency might not yet be ready for takeoff.

Prominent crypto analyst Justin Bennett is urging caution as Bitcoin’s recent surge to above $68,000 might not yet indicate a sustainable takeoff.

Bennett, a closely followed figure in the crypto space with 133,400 followers on X, highlighted some mixed signals in Bitcoin’s recent price movements, suggesting that the surge appears to be largely driven by speculators. He also pointed out the weak spot market trading volumes, suggesting that the recent price action might not yet indicate a sustainable uptrend.

People are celebrating a Bitcoin breakout on a low volume Friday. The day & week aren't over yet. Much of this rally is being driven by perpetual futures, & open interest (OI) has returned to its July peak. I'm not making any definitive calls yet b/c the data is conflicting.

— Justin Bennett (@JustinBennettFX) October 18, 2024

Bitcoin’s breakout from a seven-month narrow trading range, especially in low-volume weekend trading, is a phenomenon to watch closely. Bennett’s concerns can be summed up in his statement:

“People are celebrating a Bitcoin breakout on a low-volume Friday. But neither the day nor the week is over yet. Much of this rally is being driven by perpetual futures, and open interest (OI) has returned to its July peak. I’m not making any definitive calls yet because the data is conflicting. But as a trader, there’s no harm in being cautious at this point.”

Open Interest (OI) tracks the total number of outstanding derivative contracts for a given asset. Sudden spikes in OI can lead to deep corrections, as overly leveraged traders may be forced to liquidate their positions. According to Bennett, Bitcoin bulls must defend the $68,200 level to avoid an impending correction.

What Should Investors Do?

Bennett noted that last week saw some curious movements in the crypto market, with whales (large Bitcoin holders) showing surprising activity compared to smaller traders, and spot market activity remaining dull. He suggests that much of the recent rally could be attributed to futures trading, which is usually not a sign of a healthy market.

The crypto strategist stressed that Bitcoin’s response at the $68,200 level is more significant than the conflicting data. If the price fails to hold above this level, a deeper correction could follow. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $68,241, and if it fails to hold at this price point, Bennett anticipates a strong short-term correction.

Tether (USDT) Dominance: A Bullish Sign for BTC

Bennett also highlighted a potentially bullish signal for Bitcoin – the recent decline in Tether’s (USDT) market dominance, which has fallen below two key support levels.

USDT Dominance (USDT.D) tracks the percentage of the total crypto market cap that is represented by Tether. Drops in USDT.D are usually seen as a bullish sign for Bitcoin and altcoins, as it indicates that traders are using their stablecoins to buy crypto assets.

According to Bennett, if USDT dominance continues to decline, Bitcoin could rally by as much as 20%. His analysis shows that this trend signals that investors are moving out of stablecoins and into Bitcoin and other crypto assets, which could lead to a strong short-term rally.

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