In an analysis from crypto market analyst Cryptobilbuwoo, a bullish trend has emerged linking XRP price movements to the Bitcoin halving.
An analysis by crypto market analyst Cryptobilbuwoo has revealed a bullish trend that could propel XRP to reach a new all-time high of $26.
The prediction is based on historical patterns observed around Bitcoin's halving cycles and its subsequent impact on Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) and XRP.
The chart from Cryptobilbuwoo tracks XRP's price alongside Bitcoin dominance over an extensive timeframe. The pattern shows a unique 31-week cycle after each Bitcoin halving, in which XRP hits its lowest point.
According to the chart, following each halving, XRP consolidates for several weeks before bottoming out on the 31st week. At this juncture, Bitcoin dominance peaks while XRP begins an upward trend.
The pink areas on the chart indicate the period in which Bitcoin dominance decreases while XRP rises, creating an inverse relationship. As Bitcoin's market control diminishes, XRP's price tends to climb, suggesting the possibility of substantial growth in the post-halving period.
This pattern played out after the Bitcoin halving in July 2016, with XRP eventually spiking to an all-time high of $3.31 in January 2018. It also occurred following the halving in May 2020, as XRP rallied to a $1.96 peak by April 2021.
Now, the pattern seems to be playing out again after the most recent Bitcoin halving in April 2024. Given that the next 31-week mark falls around late 2024, particularly mid next month, the stage could be set for XRP's next massive uptrend.
Once this upsurge begins, the analyst expects XRP to skyrocket to a $26 price. Another market commentator, EGRAG, also projected a $26 price for XRP using a linear regression theory.
In the immediate term, XRP has been consistently forming higher lows since July 2024, showing resilience amid market uncertainties. Currently, XRP trades at $0.5161, just below its 20-day moving average (MA) of $0.5426.
For further bullish momentum, XRP needs to break past this 20-day MA. Breaching this level could provide strength for testing the upper Bollinger Band at $0.6419.
Analysts speculate that surpassing the $0.6 resistance could act as a launchpad for a stronger rally. Meanwhile, XRP boasts support at the lower Bollinger Band around $0.4434, which could help defend against any steeper declines.
On the directional movement index (DMI), the positive directional indicator ( DI) at 18.83 and the negative directional indicator (-DI) at 24.93 are both currently ranging, suggesting a lack of clear trend direction. The average directional index (ADX) stands at 11.35, indicating low trend strength.
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