Has Bitcoin entered a bear market in 2025? When will BTC start a bull market? Where can I reach a high point?

Bitcoin in 2025: Is the bull market continuing or the bear market coming?

The bull market in Bitcoin in 2024 has brought huge profits to investors. However, in 2025, the price of Bitcoin has seen a significant pullback, causing the market to worry about the arrival of a bear market. This article will analyze the trend of the Bitcoin market in 2025 and explore the possibility of bull and bear conversion.

2025: Bear market or bull market?

There are currently differences in market views. Some analysts predict that Bitcoin will enter a bear market in 2025, citing that the market is facing external factors such as global economic downturn risks and policy uncertainty. However, some experts believe that the recent correction in Bitcoin price is only a short-term adjustment and the bull market will continue. Bitcoin price has rebounded from its recent lows to approach the $100,000 mark, which is interpreted as a bullish signal. In addition, the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 rebounded to 0.88, indicating that the trends of the two tend to be consistent, and the previous divergence trend has reversed.

Andre Dragosch, head of European research at Bitwise, pointed out that macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's adjusted interest rate cut expectations and the strengthening of the US dollar have put pressure on both cryptocurrencies and traditional markets, which may be the reason for the volatility of Bitcoin prices. Although Bitcoin has solid on-chain data support, its trend is increasingly affected by overall market trends, suggesting risks in the short term.

Outlook for the 2025 Bitcoin bull market: When will it start? Where is the high point?

(As of February 2025, the price of Bitcoin was approximately US$95,000.)

Based on the historical cycle, the current bull market may not have ended, but the market still needs to experience a pullback to clear out investors who lack confidence in the market. It is expected that the market may continue to fluctuate in the next one to two months, and April may be the time to rebound or confirm the trend. Investors are advised to wait and see carefully.

Bitcoin bear market duration forecast

The duration of the Bitcoin bear market is unpredictable. Historical data shows that the length of the bear market cycle varies from several months to several years. For example, the bear market lasted about 6 months in 2012, about 21 months in 2015, and 36 months in 2017-2020. Therefore, it is impossible to accurately predict when the current bear market will end.

Definition and quantitative analysis of bear market

It is generally believed that when the price of Bitcoin falls by more than 20% from its historical high and lasts for more than two months, it can be defined as a bear market. When the decline exceeds 30% and lasts for more than two months, it may mark the end of the bear market and the beginning of the bull market. These quantitative indicators help investors better understand and predict market trends.

Summary

Although Bitcoin has a large historical volatility, its potential rebound opportunity still exists. Investors should remain rational, pay close attention to market trends, and make cautious decisions. In a market full of opportunities and challenges, it is crucial to improve one's own investment capabilities so that one can make steady profits in the volatility.

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