Bitcoin (BTC) short-term operation strategy, market analysis

Two trend forecasts and trading strategies

This article analyzes two possible market trends and provides corresponding trading strategies for each situation.

Scenario 1: The last bottoming out (probability 60%)

The price may fall to around 94600 (clear the long stop loss order), and then rebound quickly and break through 95600 (confirm false break below), and finally start a pull-up market.

• Operation suggestions:

  • Short positions: Close positions in batches within the 94.6k-95k range to avoid being trapped by the reverse pull-up market.
  • Long positions: If the price falls to the 94,000 line and the 15-minute K-line increases in volume when it rebounds to 95.6k, you can try long positions with a light position and set the stop loss at 94.5k. The first target position is 100.5k (selling pressure in the trapped area), and after breaking through, you can look at 103k.

Scenario 2: Direct reversal and pull up (probability 40%)

If the price can stand firm above 97.5k at the beginning of the week and the 4-hour EMA55 moving average (currently 96.8k) turns to support, it may directly initiate a reversal pull-up.

• Operation suggestions:

  • Short orders: After breaking through 97.5k, it is recommended to stop loss immediately to prevent losses caused by trend reversal.
  • Long orders: After breaking through 98k, you can catch up with long positions by 97k. The stop loss is set at 96k, and the target position is 100,500.

Existing empty order processing strategy:

• Short orders above 97k: It is recommended to actively make a profit in the 94.6k-95k range to settle 50%, and the stop loss of the remaining positions will be moved up to 96.5k (guaranteed).
• 101.5k high short position: Keep the bottom position, move the stop loss down to 99k (locking profit), and wait for the price to fall back to 94,000.

Core market contradictions:

The main force needs to clear the long stop loss in the 94k-95k range before pulling up, and at the same time test the pressure in the trapped area above.

Best strategy:

Give up the profits of the intermediate oscillation range and focus on capturing the certainty opportunity of 94k false breakout and reversal or 97.5k breakthrough confirmation.

The above is the detailed content of Bitcoin (BTC) short-term operation strategy, market analysis. For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!