Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Is the Daily Chart Flashing Bearish Warnings?

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently dancing on a razor’s edge near $82,500, and traders are watching nervously. After a period of sideways consolidation, the crypto giant is showing early signs of weakness—raising the question: Is Bitcoin price preparing for a deep drop to $60,000, or is this a bear trap before the next rally? Let's dive into the daily and hourly charts to decode the truth behind BTC's next major move.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading on razor-thin support at $82,500, a level that has seen some volatile action in recent sessions. After a period of sideways consolidation, the crypto giant is showing early signs of weakness. But the question on everyone’s mind is: Is Bitcoin preparing for a substantial drop to $60,000, or is this a bear trap before the next rally?

To better understand BTC’s next major move, let’s examine both the daily and hourly charts closely.

Bitcoin Struggles Below Key Resistances

As seen on the daily chart, Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and in the red, lacking direction and momentum. Price action remains below major resistances, including the 20 SMA at $84,477, 50 SMA at $86,921, and 100 SMA at $92,808. This alignment suggests a bearish structure where each rally is being sold into.

The failure to reclaim the 100-day SMA multiple times indicates sustained selling pressure, likely from institutions and swing traders. The presence of the 200 SMA below current price around $86,675 had acted as temporary support in March, but it has now turned neutral as price hovers well below it.

The ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line) has sharply dropped, confirming distribution over accumulation. This means that even during slight upward moves, smart money has been offloading, not adding to positions. Without a turn in the ADL, any bounce is suspect.

Bitcoin Grinds Lower on the 1-Hour Chart

Zooming into the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is showing a slow, controlled bleed. After peaking briefly around $87K on April 2nd, BTC experienced sharp rejection and has since been forming lower highs. The recent attempt to climb was stopped cleanly at the 200 SMA near $83,300, confirming it as short-term resistance.

The moving averages on the hourly (20, 50, and 100 SMA) are compressing and curving downward, which typically leads to momentum breakdowns, especially when paired with flat volume and fading bullish candles. The most recent Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and leaning bearish, showing that the bulls are losing steam and failing to defend even intraday bounces.

The hourly ADL is declining, further confirming the lack of demand at current price levels. Retail interest appears low, and there’s no sign of whale-driven accumulation on this timeframe either.

Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Immediate support lies at $82,000, which has been tested several times over the past few sessions. A decisive break below this level could trigger a sharp selloff down to $78,500, with a psychological and structural support zone around $75,000. If that fails, then the long-feared move toward $69,000–$60,000 could come into play quickly.

On the upside, resistance sits heavy around $84,500, followed by $86,900, both marked by the daily 20 and 50 SMA zones. Only a break above $87,500–$88,000, backed by volume, would confirm a bullish reversal and negate the current bearish setup.

What Do the Indicators Suggest?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is approaching oversold territory, indicating that bears have gained a strong foothold in the market.

The MACD on the 1-hour chart has crossed below the signal line, signaling a potential shift in momentum in favor of the bears.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What’s Next for April?

Short-Term Outlook (Next 48–72 hours): If $82,000 fails, expect a fast drop to $78,000 or lower. If bulls hold the line and reclaim $84,500 with volume, we might see a short-term bounce to $87K.

Mid-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 weeks): Without a break above the 100-day SMA, Bitcoin price is at risk of cascading down to $75,000. Market sentiment is fragile, and macroeconomic news or ETF flows could tip the balance.

Long-Term Outlook (Rest of April 2025): If $75,000 breaks in April, then a full correction down to $60,000 is on the table. However, if bulls manage to regain $90K territory, it could open the door back to $100K.

The Bottom Line

The charts are clearly showing that Bitcoin price is at a critical juncture. The current

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