Analysts Predict Potential, Eventual Switch 2 Price Moves After Tariffs (Update)

Nintendo Switch 2 pricing and tariff impact analysis: expert forecasts and market uncertainty

There are speculations surrounding the price of the newly released Nintendo Switch 2 and the impact of the massive global tariffs imposed by the Trump administration (especially significant on countries such as Japan, Nintendo's manufacturing partners Vietnam and Cambodia).

Now, experts are starting to express their opinions. Top analytics company DFC Intelligence released its first Switch 2 report. Although the report is mostly optimistic about the prospects of the console, the tariff issue is a negative factor that cannot be ignored.

The DFC said that while they believe the $450 price remains competitive and below their $500 forecast before the global economic situation worsened, tariffs complicate the situation.

They believe that tariffs will reduce overall sales of the Switch 2. Due to price concerns, their sales forecast for 2025 was reduced from 17 million units to 15 million units. These price concerns stem from the fact that if these tariffs remain unchanged, the Switch 2 price could rise 20% to $540 over the next two years. Of course, the prices of PlayStation, Xbox and PC games may also rise due to the same tariffs. DFC said they will continue to adjust their forecasts as the actual situation changes.

The problem is that there are too many unknown factors, and the current turbulent tariff situation is difficult to predict future development. Tariffs may be cancelled tomorrow, or they may remain the same, or increase as the trade war escalates. DFC's views are as follows:

"The lower volume forecasts are directly related to supply and pricing. Nintendo may choose to reduce its production due to tariffs and uncertain pricing. If prices rise sharply due to tariffs, a large percentage of potential buyers may postpone purchases until prices drop. This is changing and DFC will regularly update its forecast throughout the year to keep an eye on developments."

Still, the overall conclusion is that the Switch 2 is likely to be a huge success, and even if sales forecasts are downgraded, it could be the fastest-selling console ever. The first-generation Switch is the third best-selling video game console of all time and will soon become the second best-selling. It is not clear whether the Switch 2 can reach these heights, but it is entirely possible. But, is the price increase dramatically? This may seriously affect its market performance.

Nintendo also responded, clarifying previous statements about a 20% increase in hardware prices over the next two years, pointing out that this refers to the overall hardware market, not just the Switch. For the Switch 2, they believe that most of the 20% increase is already included in the $450 selling price, and it is unlikely that the price will increase further, even if the price increases, the range is unlikely to reach 20%. In addition, price increases are largely reflected in the cancellation of price discounts, not simply price increases.

However, Nintendo’s Doug Bowser has previously made it clear that the $450 pricing does not take into account tariffs, which has raised more questions. If the $450 price does not include tariffs, will the final price reach about $540? It is not clear yet, and this still needs continued attention.

The above is the detailed content of Analysts Predict Potential, Eventual Switch 2 Price Moves After Tariffs (Update). For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!