OpenAI: ChatGPT may have a significant impact on 19% of US jobs

ChatGPT is already powerful enough to write articles and marketing materials, write computer code, and help analyze financial reports. Researchers at OpenAI estimate that ChatGPT and future software tools built using its underlying technology could impact about 19% of jobs in the United States, with at least 50% of the tasks in these jobs being replaced by AI.

News on March 21, will the chatbot ChatGPT of the artificial intelligence research company OpenAI replace the work of ordinary people? A new study from the company estimates that this AI-powered chat technology could have a significant impact on 19% of U.S. jobs.

ChatGPT is already powerful enough to write articles and marketing materials, write computer code, and help analyze financial reports. Researchers at OpenAI estimate that ChatGPT and future software tools built using its underlying technology could impact about 19% of jobs in the United States, with at least 50% of the tasks in these jobs being replaced by AI.

At the same time, 80% of American employees have at least 10% of their work tasks affected by ChatGPT. The study adds: "Our analysis suggests that large language models like GPT-4 are likely to have broader impacts." Additionally, the researchers found that jobs with higher wages are likely to face higher Much of the potential impact comes from AI chatbots, as these jobs may involve more software tasks. They said in the report: "We found that positions that rely heavily on scientific and critical thinking skills are less vulnerable, while jobs related to programming and writing skills are more vulnerable."

OpenAI researchers used various This metric classifies which occupations are most affected by ChatGPT. Among the professions most affected include interpreters, translators, poets, lyricists, creative writers, public relations experts, writers, mathematicians, tax preparers, blockchain engineers, accountants, auditors, and journalists.

The report also breaks down the impact of ChatGPT by industry. Industries such as data processing hosting, publishing and secure commodity contracts are most likely to be disrupted. In contrast, industries with a strong focus on manual labor, such as food services, forestry and logging, social assistance, and food manufacturing, are among the least potentially affected.

For this assessment, OpenAI studied more than 1,000 occupations in the United States and quantified the tasks required to complete these jobs. The researchers then used human annotators and the GPT-4 model to rate whether systems powered by ChatGPT would reduce the time it takes humans to perform specific tasks by at least 50%.

The researchers acknowledge that the study's attempt to generalize about each occupation by simply quantifying job tasks is inherently flawed. The study added: "It is unclear to what extent occupations can be completely broken down into different tasks, or whether this approach systematically ignores certain skills required to perform these jobs competently."

Another problem is that GPT’s demonstrations have shown that this technology can make obvious mistakes, including fabricating information, which makes it necessary for humans to supervise. This is a factor that the above studies did not take into account. In addition, this study only looked at whether ChatGPT can reduce the time required to complete various occupational tasks, not that it is smart enough to fully automate certain tasks.

Nevertheless, researchers expect ChatGPT and its future iterations to dramatically change the way people work. Therefore, society and policymakers need to be prepared. The researchers concluded: "The capabilities of large language models continue to improve over time, and even if we stop the development of new capabilities today, their growing economic impact is expected to continue."

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