


Artificial intelligence is an effective means to deal with aging and low fertility rates
At present, artificial intelligence has become the core driving force for China's economic transformation and industrial upgrading. It will create a powerful engine to reconstruct economic activities such as production, distribution, exchange and consumption, form new intelligent demands, and spawn new technologies, new products, new industries and new models, thereby improving production efficiency and promoting the entire economy and society. Achieve high-quality development.
With the continuous popularization and in-depth development of artificial intelligence, it has been applied to various fields of human life and penetrated into all aspects of people's lives. It has contributed to the promotion of social development and people's Makes a huge contribution to well-being.
Robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) have changed our lives. This technology is now widely used in various daily services. Although artificial intelligence is still in its infancy, it has already benefited us a lot. .
The trend of population aging and low fertility rate is difficult to reverse
A major problem currently plaguing China's economic and social development is the problem of population aging and low fertility rate. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the number of elderly people over 60 years old in my country has reached 241 million. It is expected that by around 2050, the elderly population will reach a peak of 487 million, accounting for 34.9% of the total population. Our country has entered a stage of rapid aging. How to deal with it? This trend has become a top priority.
On the other hand, my country's birth rate has been declining in recent years. Data show that the number of births in 2021 will be 1,412.6 million, an increase of 480,000 over the previous year. The number of births in the year was 10.62 million, the birth rate was 7.52%, the number of deaths was 10.14 million, the mortality rate was 7.18%, and the natural population growth rate was 0.34%.
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, my country's birth population will drop to 10.62 million in 2021 after 12 million in 2020. It is expected that the birth population will continue to decline in 2022, and is likely to fall below 9 million.
Relevant data shows that the birth rate has continued to decline in recent years. Due to various reasons, even if the country opens to three children, this trend cannot be alleviated. In addition, this year, the epidemic has been recurring and spreading everywhere, the number of unemployed people has increased, and the economic downturn has made people less confident about the future, so they have slowed down or suspended the pace of having children. It can be seen that the downward trend of my country's birth rate is irreversible.
Artificial intelligence will become the most effective means to deal with aging and low fertility rate
1. Artificial intelligence technology can solve some problems that arise during the effective population aging stage
1. Artificial intelligence can replace some of the work of medical staff
With the continuous development of AI technology, hardware facilities combined with it will gradually enter various nursing units. Currently, Japanese nursing homes have begun to use various AI-driven tools, including robots, various sensors and some software, to make up for the shortage of nursing staff.
The application of these technologies will bring huge changes to the nursing industry. The daily work of nursing staff as well as residents and family members can benefit from the popularity of artificial intelligence technology. Robot caregivers are tireless and can organize a certain amount of activities, which is a great help to busy medical staff.
2. Artificial intelligence information collection and analysis technology can help improve the work efficiency of medical care personnel and help them make more accurate diagnoses
AI information collection and analysis technology will It makes it easier for medical staff and the elderly's family members to collect data on the elderly's physical condition, and intelligent software with voice recognition capabilities will make their work more efficient. The use of AI sensors and other health devices will allow healthcare providers to better understand the health status of the elderly, and the collection of data will enable them to make more accurate diagnoses.
Especially for the elderly who are left unattended. If no one notices the fall, the elderly will not be able to take the initiative to seek help, which can easily lead to death. There are already technology companies developing solutions to this problem.
Option 1 is a wearable device. This device can analyze the posture changes of the elderly in advance and accurately determine whether the elderly are in a stable or unstable state. The disadvantage is that it is inconvenient to wear.
Option 2 uses a radar sensing system to generate a 3D image of the elderly without wearing any equipment. It can also obtain accurate predictions, but the disadvantage is that the privacy is greatly reduced, and there is no personal privacy at all.
3. AI technology can predict Alzheimer’s disease in advance
Alzheimer’s disease, also known as Alzheimer’s disease, is the main cause of dementia in the world. Among people over 65 years old , 1/10 people have Alzheimer's disease.
Now researchers have developed an artificial intelligence-based computer algorithm that can accurately predict and diagnose patients with dementia by using brain MRI images, tests such as cognitive impairment, and age and gender data. Risk of Alzheimer's disease.
2. Artificial intelligence will replace labor and change the employment ratio of some occupations
According to a study jointly released by Cambridge University professors Michael Osborne and Carl Frey The report predicts that artificial intelligence will replace jobs in the following occupations in the future:
1. Hotel managers, the replacement rate is 0.4%; 2. Teachers, the replacement rate is 0.4%, because they are related to machines In comparison, communication and interaction between people can make people enjoy the learning process; 3. Psychological counselors, replacement rate, 0.7%. Artificial intelligence's understanding of emotions and psychology is still in its infancy, and will soon be replaced in a short period of time. It is difficult to achieve significant breakthroughs.
4. Public relations, replacement rate, 1.4%. Robots are capable of writing public relations drafts, but artificial intelligence does not know how to skillfully balance public opinion; 5. Architects, replacement rate, 1.8%. It is not difficult for AI to draw drawings. What is difficult is the abstract understanding of space, which is beyond the reach of artificial intelligence.
6. Doctors, replacement rate, 2.1%. Precise diagnosis and treatment are still inseparable from humans; 7. Lawyers and judges, the replacement rate is 3.5%. Artificial intelligence may be able to write a complaint that meets the requirements, but it is difficult to impose a sentence based on social fairness, justice and the law;
8, artists, musicians, and scientists, the replacement rates are 3.8%, 4.5%, and 6.2% respectively. The beauty of art and thought is the last bastion of mankind. It represents creativity, thinking and aesthetic ability.
9. Fitness coaches, replacement rate, 7.5%. Robots can provide data and suggestions, but in terms of specific operations, a human coach can provide you with more detailed guidance. 10. Nanny, replacement rate, 8.0%. Jobs that require emotional investment are difficult to replace by robots.
11. Journalists, replacement rate, 8.4%. 12. Police, replacement rate, 22.4%. 13. Programmers, replacement rate, 8.5%. 14. Replacement rate, 8.4%. Robots can be taller, faster, and stronger than humans. Although robots cannot replace athletes, their functions as sparring partners are more than sufficient.
15. Barber, replacement rate, 32.7%. 16. Translation, replacement rate, 32.7%. 17. Makeup artists, replacement rate, 36.9%. 18. Actors, replacement rate, 37.4%. 19. Photographers, replacement rate, 50.3%. 20. Librarians, replacement rate, 51.9%. 21. IT project management engineers, replacement rate, 58.3%.
22. Chef, replacement rate, 73.4%. 23. Real estate agents, replacement rate, 86%. 24. Workers, as well as bricklayers, gardeners, cleaners, drivers, carpenters, plumbers, etc., have been replaced at a rate of 80%-60%. 25. Security guards, replacement rate, 89.3%. 26. Human resources, 89.7%. 27. Customer service, replacement rate, 91.0%.
28. Front desk, replacement rate, 95.6%. 29. Operators, replacement rate, 96.5%. 30. Government employees, replacement rate, 96.8%. 31. Bank clerks, replacement rate, 96.8%. 32. Insurance salesmen, replacement rate, 97.0%. 33. Accounting, replacement rate, 97.6%. 34. Typists, replacement rate, 98.5%. 35. Telemarketers, replacement rate, 99%.
3. Artificial intelligence can offset the impact of negative population growth on the economy to a certain extent
Overall, negative population growth will become a significant trend in global population development , and the accelerating aging process and the low fertility rate are regarded as the main driving forces of this trend. According to the latest "World Population Prospects" of the United Nations, it is estimated that by 2050, the average life expectancy of the global population will increase to 77.1 years, the global fertility rate will drop to 2.2%, and population growth will show an overall slowing trend in the next 10 years.
Compared with some developed countries in the world, my country's economic foundation is relatively weak, and there is still room for improvement in people's livelihood and well-being. It is a typical example of "getting old before getting rich". Now we are facing a reduction in the size of the working population. However, the reduction in labor supply caused by negative population growth is also conducive to forcing technological progress and promotion.
Under this circumstance, our country should give full play to the important role of artificial intelligence in economic transformation and industrial upgrading, and explore a development path with Chinese characteristics that adapts to the demographic shift in order to cope with the current aging population. and the challenges posed by negative population growth.
The future application prospects of artificial intelligence are very broad. It can perform the most boring or dangerous tasks in daily life. There are already robotic systems that can perform tasks such as firefighting, thereby reducing the dangers faced by citizens.
Research forecasts by McKinsey Consulting show that by 2030, the average proportion of artificial intelligence labor replacement will reach 15% globally, and this proportion may reach 23% and 24% in the United States and Germany.
Since 2013, our country has become the world's largest consumer of robots. At the same time, the output of domestic robots has also shown explosive growth. However, domestic robots have always been at the middle and low end of the industry, and high-end robots still need import.
To sum up, artificial intelligence will become the most effective means for my country to deal with aging and low fertility, and the large-scale use of intelligent robots is also an inevitable trend in the development of human society in the future.
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