As the brightest jewel in the software crown, the operating system has made huge profits in history. Many people are now debating, is ChatGPT like an operating system?
I personally think it is more like a browser than an operating system.
An important feature of an operating system that is as monopolistic as Windows is that it can build a bilateral network between developers and users, and this network is "exclusive" and "exclusive."
Why has the browser never formed such a barrier?
Because the protocol used by browsers and servers is public and universal. If a browser makes any innovation and is not compatible with the W3C HTML standard, it is asking for death. So for users, when switching from Chrome to Safari, or from Edge to FireFox, the main experience will hardly change (whichever one changes is a bug in that browser)
And the operating system The difference is that programs on Windows cannot run on MacOS, and vice versa.
Why is Microsoft more wary of Java than Apple? Because Java actually formed a new standard for applications, opening up the closed systems formed by Windows, Mac and Unix. If an application can be written once and run on all operating systems as promised by Java, the advantages of the developer community and users of Windows that have been built for many years will be gone in an instant.
So back to the topic, ChatGPT. Is its ecosystem more like an operating system or more like a browser?
My judgment based on the current information is that its ecology is relatively more open. Because the upper application layer uses natural language (that is, Prompt) to interact with it. This natural language has a global standard, which is the documents of human beings over the past thousands of years. People's daily communication habits are the standard of natural language.
No matter which big language model, if the input or output does not match the natural language, that is its problem. If a large language model is too different from English, Chinese, or Spanish used in human society, this is not called innovation, but failure to comply with standards.
If this assumption is true, then replacing the large language model at the application layer is relatively closer to changing the browser for an Internet website, and it is not nearly as irreplaceable as changing the operating system. The lower the cost of migration, the lower the competitive barriers for each large language model.
For the industry, having standards like browsers is the optimal solution; for each large language model, the more statements that can only be understood on its own model, the better.
This is a long-term game between a large language model and the industry.
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