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Musk predicts: Tesla's fully autonomous driving will be realized this year, worried about deep changes in AI
Musk predicts: Tesla's fully autonomous driving will be realized this year, worried about deep changes in AI
He emphasized that Tesla is close to achieving fully autonomous driving without human intervention, and pointed out the practicality of fully autonomous driving and the importance of increasing car usage. Musk also said Tesla is very interested in sharing and licensing its self-driving technology with other automakers.
In addition, he once again emphasized the complexity of artificial intelligence and believed that generative artificial intelligence would have a profound impact on human civilization, but also called for concern and supervision over comprehensive artificial intelligence.
It is worth mentioning that Musk expressed his appreciation for China and believes that China will have strong capabilities in the field of artificial intelligence.
Excerpts from Musk’s speech are as follows:
Hello everyone from Shanghai!
Artificial intelligence will play a very profound role in the evolution of human civilization. current. The ratio of digital computers to biological computers on Earth continues to grow as the number of computers and computing power explodes. Over time, humans will account for a smaller share of the total thinking power on Earth relative to machines.
This will be a profound change. I believe that mankind is in one of the most profound periods of change.
In the future, there will be a large number of robots on the earth. A question worth pondering is what will be the ratio of robots to humans over time? At some point in the future, the ratio may exceed 1:1, which means there will be more robots than humans, or even a lot more. This trend is already very obvious.
Humankind will usher in an era of prosperity. No matter what goods or services people need, they can easily have them. In a future with a large number of robots, global production efficiency will increase to incredible levels. Of course, we need to be very careful to ensure that robots are beneficial to humans.
I believe that Tesla will play an important role in this process. The Tesla humanoid robots under development are designed to assist people in completing tedious tasks and handle boring, repetitive or dangerous tasks that humans avoid. Therefore, it does not require a high level of intelligence to perform these tasks.
An important application of artificial intelligence is automatic driving of cars. When it comes to self-driving, Tesla is more than happy to license its technology to other automakers. Autonomous driving technology will free people from boring driving tasks and give them more freedom and time.
At the same time, autonomous driving will greatly improve vehicle utilization. An ordinary passenger car is used for about 10 to 12 hours a week, and most of the time it is parked in a parking lot. A car with fully autonomous driving capabilities can be used for 50 to 60 hours a week. Hour. The utilization rate of autonomous vehicles will be five times that of non-autonomous vehicles. Tesla hopes to share this type of technology with more companies.
Currently, Tesla’s technology is very close to the goal of fully autonomous driving. Tesla vehicles being tested on U.S. roads rarely require human intervention. Therefore, when we drive a Tesla with the latest version of the fully self-driving test version from one destination to another, we require almost no human control. Tesla expects to achieve full autonomous driving capabilities later this year, reaching L4 or L5 levels.
Compared with artificial intelligence such as autonomous driving and Tesla humanoid robots, general artificial intelligence (AGI) is very different.
General artificial intelligence is a type of computer intelligence that can be smarter than all humans. This is not an area Tesla currently specializes in, and other companies are working on it. But I think this is also an area we should focus on. Especially in the face of tens of thousands, or even hundreds of thousands or millions of state-of-the-art computers for deep artificial intelligence, we need regulatory measures to ensure that these computers can all work together and in an orderly manner to achieve a single integrated system." Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI).
In the future, "super intelligence" will be more capable than humans, but there are also risks. We should do our best to prevent the worrying things from happening and embrace a positive future.
I have always admired many smart and talented people in China. Their talent and passion amaze me. China is capable of doing anything it wants to do in every field, whether it's economics or artificial intelligence. I believe that China will have very strong artificial intelligence capabilities in the future.
Finally, I would like to thank the conference for inviting me to share, and I look forward to meeting you all!
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