Bill Gates' latest opinion: AI allows you to earn enough living expenses by working only 3 days a week instead of 5 days [with AIGC industry market analysis]

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On November 23, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates expressed his views on AI on a podcast with Trevor Noah (Trei Wa) on Tuesday. Gates said, One day, humans "won't have to work so hard" and AI will make it possible for people to work 3 days a week.

Gates said: "If the future society only needs to work three days a week, that should be good."

Gates believes that the future world may be like this, "Machines can make all the food and stuff" and people don't have to work more than five days a week to earn a living wage.

Currently, Gates believes that artificial intelligence can bring some positive changes to people, but he has also said before: "I don't think the impact of artificial intelligence will be as noticeable as the industrial revolution. But it was certainly going to be as momentous as the introduction of the personal computer. Word processing applications didn't completely replace office work, but they changed it forever. Employers and employees alike had to adapt, and they did."

Regarding how AI can make people’s work easier, Bill Gates wrote on his personal blog: AI Agent will be the future of artificial intelligence. Two days ago, a domestic company called Face Wall Intelligence also launched their AI Agent product ChatDev, which can complete the development of a software or a small game in a short time, and all you need to do is provide it with a requirement. .

At present, AI Agent does not have a definite definition. The industry temporarily positions it as: As a brain, the large language model has the ability to perceive, remember, plan and use tools, and can automatically realize the user's complex tasks. Goal, This actually lays the basic framework of AI Agent.

AIGC companies account for the largest proportion in Beijing

According to the "China New Generation Artificial Intelligence Technology Industry Development Report 2022", my country's 2,200 AIGC key enterprises are mainly distributed in Beijing, Guangdong Province, Shanghai, Zhejiang Province, Jiangsu Province, Sichuan Province, Shandong Province, Hubei Province, Fujian Province and Hunan Province. Among them, Beijing has the highest proportion, accounting for 28.32%; followed by Guangdong Province, accounting for 26.45%, mainly distributed in Shenzhen and Guangzhou; ranking third is Shanghai, accounting for 13.09%; ranking fourth It is Zhejiang Province, accounting for 9.00%, mainly distributed in Hangzhou City. Among major domestic cities, the cities with densest distribution of AIGC companies are Beijing, Shenzhen, Shanghai and Guangzhou, accounting for 28.32%, 13.41%, 13.09% and 8.55% respectively. Chengdu in the western region and Wuhan in the central region are also cities with the highest number of AIGC companies.

The number of patent applications and patent disclosures in the industry has increased overall, and the intensity of corporate technology research and development is high

The AIGC industry is a technology-intensive industry with high technical requirements. At present, the development of new generation AIGC related disciplines, theoretical modeling, technological innovation and software and hardware upgrades are all advancing as a whole. The number of patent applications and patent disclosures in my country's AIGC industry is also rising overall, and the R&D intensity of listed companies in the industry is also very high. . In general, the rapidly changing market environment has brought development opportunities for technological innovation and product research and development in the AIGC industry, but it has also put forward higher requirements for enterprises in the AIGC industry. AIGC companies need stronger technical reserves, faster response speed and more flexible response strategies to build their own core competitiveness and gain better development advantages in the market

Goldman Sachs analysts Briggs and Kudani pointed out in a research report released on March 27 that 300 million jobs around the world are expected to be eventually replaced by AI. However, while many people have lost their jobs, it is an indisputable fact that AI can greatly improve productivity in the future. The report predicts that in the next decade, global GDP will reach an ultra-high growth rate of 7% per year.

Gai Lishan, Chairman of Elitesland and Vice President of China Small and Medium Enterprises Association, said that AIGC mainly focuses on content generation and improving human-computer interaction experience, and has different impacts on various industries. She believes that AIGC has a great impact on cultural and creative, entertainment, e-commerce, knowledge services and other fields. In the future, these fields may replace more than 50% of labor, especially in the long tail.

Fudan University Professor Lu Xianghua believes that AIGC replaces more tasks than jobs. "People can never be replaced, but tasks can be replaced with the help of technology." She mentioned that the current value of AIGC seems to be limited and the cost is huge, but the dawn is right in front of us, and it will slowly enter the scene and explore , the stage of crossing the chasm.

Foresight Economist APP Information Group

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