Can AI's consciousness be determined? Research suggests AI consciousness may be an unexpected product of complexity [Includes artificial intelligence market size forecast]

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How to determine whether AI is conscious? Recently, a team of scientists led by the University of Oxford in the UK jointly set some indicators to judge whether AI is conscious. These indicators are derived based on several well-known scientific theories of consciousness, and also include hypothetical indicators of higher-order theories. Analysis based on these indicators shows that no AI system has yet been found to be conscious, but it also shows that there are no obvious technical obstacles to building an AI system that meets these indicators, Although humans still do not understand much about consciousness place, but constructing a standard is a necessary step to judge whether AI is conscious, and it can also help humans understand consciousness.

Consciousness may be an unintended consequence of complexity, scientists say, and with the emergence of stronger artificial intelligence, consciousness may eventually be possible, although perhaps not intentionally intended by humans.

——Global artificial intelligence is still in the development stage of perceptual intelligence

According to the development level of artificial intelligence, the industry usually divides it into three levels: computational intelligence, perceptual intelligence and cognitive intelligence. In the computational intelligence stage, machines can perform calculations like humans. For example, the emergence of neural networks and genetic algorithms allow machines to process large amounts of data more efficiently and quickly; in the perceptual intelligence stage, machines can understand our language and everything in the world. Speech and visual recognition belong to this category, and these technologies can better assist humans to complete tasks efficiently; the cognitive intelligence stage refers to this stage, where machines will be able to actively think and take actions, fully assisting or even replacing human work

Currently, global artificial intelligence is still in the development stage of perceptual intelligence

——The process of commercialization of artificial intelligence is accelerating, and application scenarios are becoming more abundant

Artificial intelligence technology has made major breakthroughs after rapid development in the past 10 years. As artificial intelligence theory and technology become increasingly mature, artificial intelligence scene integration capabilities continue to improve. Therefore, in recent years, commercial applications have become artificial intelligence The focus of the layout of technology companies is that the commercial implementation of the artificial intelligence industry in developed countries and regions such as Europe and the United States was earlier. China, as a latecomer, has accelerated the commercial application of artificial intelligence in recent years under the dual promotion of policies and capital. At present, artificial intelligence technology has been implemented in many fields such as finance, medical care, security, education, transportation, manufacturing, retail, etc., and the application scenarios are becoming increasingly rich

The scale of the artificial intelligence market is rapidly expanding

Various products based on artificial intelligence technology replace humans in simple and repetitive physical or mental work in various fields, greatly improving production efficiency and quality of life, and also promoting the development and transformation of various industries.

According to data forecasts from PwC, the global artificial intelligence market is expected to reach US$2 trillion in 2020. This is due to the pressure of downstream demand and the maturity of upstream technology. It is expected that the market will continue to maintain rapid growth in the next few years, and the global market size will reach 15.7 trillion US dollars by 2030, which is approximately 104 trillion yuan

Well-known Tesla bull analyst Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities predicts that AI will account for 8-8% of global IT budgets in 2024, up from less than 1% this year. 10%, which would represent $1 trillion in spending over the next decade.

Foresight Economist APP Information Group

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