Guests丨Li Ning, Xu Liwen, Zhang Rongchao
Host丨Yunzhao
Organization丨Noah
Produced by 51CTO Technology Stack (WeChat ID: blog51cto)
2024 is crucial for native Hongmeng. In his New Year letter, Yu Chengdong emphasized the importance of accelerating the development of various Hongmeng native applications. He pointed out that we must focus on winning the two key battles of technological infrastructure and the three-party ecosystem. This means that it is necessary to accelerate the development of Hongmeng native applications to ensure the stability of the technical foundation and the healthy development of the three-party ecosystem. Yu Chengdong’s determination is to ensure that the Hongmeng system can be launched in 2024
On January 18, Huawei announced the open application for the developer preview version of HarmonyOS NEXT Hongmeng Galaxy Edition system at the Hongmeng Ecosystem Qiansai Sailing Ceremony. This latest version of Hongmeng OS is called "pure-blooded Hongmeng" because it is no longer compatible with Android open source applications and only supports Hongmeng kernel and system applications.
The strong expansion potential of native Hongmeng has aroused people’s expectations. In addition, according to currently disclosed information, PC devices will gradually shift to using pure Hongmeng system. Considering Huawei's long-term positioning of Hongmeng system as a full-scenario distributed operating system, it can be clearly seen that Hongmeng's goal is not limited to a single mobile phone operating system, but focuses on a wider range of full-scenario Internet of Things.
With the expansion of Hongmeng ecosystem, the time for Huawei to launch “pure-blood Hongmeng” to consumers is getting closer. So for developers, which development field will there be more opportunities for, mobile, PC, or IoT devices? Focusing on this topic, T Frontline specially invited three experts from the Hongmeng community to discuss it.
"For developers, whether it is PC, mobile, or Internet of Things-related fields, there are actually great opportunities." Zhang Rongchao, core lecturer of Hongmeng Community, first expressed this view.
In his view, the emergence of smartphones has caused the mobile market to experience explosive growth. Mobile applications have covered all aspects of life. The rapid development of mobile technology has provided developers with very broad opportunities, especially in the fields of consumer applications and mobile games, which still have great demand. However, the mobile terminal actually also faces great challenges, such as cross-platform compatibility.
On the PC side, there are also many opportunities hidden, especially in professional software and enterprise applications. "Although the development technology on the PC side is now very mature, and many applications have shifted to the browser-based B/S mode. But for many application scenarios, if the powerful computing power of the PC needs to be utilized, the PC side is still very important. platform.”
Compared with the first two, the Internet of Things is an emerging field. With the development of smart cities, smart homes, and industrial automation, this field will also provide opportunities for developers. "The development related to the Internet of Things involves embedded, network communications, data analysis, etc. If developers focus on the field of Internet of Things, there is also a lot of room for development."
Zhang Rongchao said, "It is actually difficult to judge which field has better opportunities. Developers need to decide the field of focus based on their own interests, their own skills and market trends." From the perspective of market trends, "You To follow the trend, Hongmeng itself is the general trend. It can be foreseen to develop rapidly in the next few years, and its development prospects can be said to be unlimited. Paying attention to its development trend is actually very important when developers choose which field. Indicators. In short, I think developers still need to consider it comprehensively.”
In addition, Zhang Rongchao also mentioned that in the early stages of Hongmeng Ecosystem, there were relatively many gaps in the market, which provided a new stage and window period for independent developers. Since the Hongmeng system has distributed and cross-terminal characteristics, developers can use these characteristics to innovate application models, achieve one-time development and multi-terminal deployment, and create a unique application experience that is different from traditional operating systems such as Android and iOS.
Moreover, independent developers can develop application products that meet personalized needs by focusing on user needs in specific areas or niche markets. This is where large manufacturers may be unable to fully cover due to factors such as resources and strategic focus.
In addition, a significant advantage of independent developers is that they can flexibly respond to the rapid iterative updates of Hongmeng system, adjust development strategies in a timely manner, respond to market changes and user feedback, and not only gain competition in application development Advantages: You can also actively participate in the construction of the Hongmeng ecosystem and further enhance your influence and competitiveness by participating in various developer competitions and other activities.
Therefore, Zhang Rongchao believes that although leading manufacturers occupy a very important position in the mobile application market, for independent developers, the current to the next three years are the key window period to seize the development opportunities of Hongmeng native applications. "Indie developers have a huge opportunity to find their niche and stand out through their own innovation and groups focusing on specific areas."
Previous media reports stated that they learned from Huawei insiders that in addition to Hongmeng mobile phones, the Hongmeng operating system for PCs is close to completion. PC is expected to become Hongmeng’s next important “main battlefield.”
Li Ning, core lecturer of Hongmeng Community, said that it is not yet clear to what extent PC Hongmeng will develop in the future. However, if it can achieve the compatibility and application richness of Windows or Mac OS, support the installation of various software and have its own application format, there will be an opportunity to fully migrate the existing PC-side charging business model to the Hongmeng platform.
Compared with the mobile terminal, the PC industry has a longer history, mature payment habits and higher single revenue, so its market opportunities may far exceed those of the mobile terminal. However, Li Ning also mentioned that since the specific development level of Hongmeng PC side and the application review mechanism are still unclear, it is impossible to draw a conclusion.
On the mobile side, although there is a certain profit margin in the game and application market, due to the domestic restrictions on game version numbers and the implementation of the review policy, coupled with the fact that Hongmeng applications are temporarily unable to go overseas, independent developers and small businesses The team faces certain challenges. Especially for developers who develop Android and Hongmeng versions of applications at the same time, they need to pay attention to whether they need to be reviewed separately, which will bring additional time costs.
Overall, if Hongmeng can be widely used in the PC field, given that the PC side can directly release applications without strict review, and the user usage scenarios are more diverse and the screen is larger and the functions are stronger, it is foreseeable that its market opportunities will be Extremely impressive. However, the mobile terminal still has limitations in the depth of application scenarios compared to the PC terminal.
In Li Ning’s view, the Internet of Things can be regarded as a low-end application form for hardware devices. It does not rely mainly on software to make profits like the mobile terminal, but realizes business by selling intelligent hardware embedded with software systems. value. In terms of development strategy, combining the team's advantages to select vertical fields (such as tourism, medical care, etc.), developing software and hardware at the same time, and combining PC and mobile terminals with Internet of Things technology can create a higher competitive threshold.
Through multi-terminal deployment, developers can not only provide seamless experiences on various platforms, but also design innovative and distinctive smart devices, allowing PCs, mobile devices and IoT devices to be organically integrated to create synergy. , thereby increasing the non-replicability of products, reducing the risk of plagiarism, and enhancing core competitiveness. This cross-platform integration method can often produce the effect of "1 1 = 1 > 3", bringing greater business potential and development opportunities to developers.
Hongmeng Community MVP Xu Liwen believes that currently and in the next two years, the key demand for Hongmeng application development will still be concentrated in the mobile stock market, especially in the mobile phone field. Developers should focus on mobile APP development that takes advantage of Hongmeng's unique features to meet the market demand for Huawei's main product line. “Only after the mobile terminal reaches a certain saturation level, will there be overflow demand in the PC terminal or the Internet of Things field.”
In his opinion, the development of Hongmeng applications on PC still has a long way to go. Of course, this also depends on whether Huawei will make greater moves on the PC side in the next two years. "For example, if Huawei suddenly achieves a major breakthrough on the PC side next year and emerges with disruptive technology, then I think there may be a dark horse on the PC side."
Xu Liwen emphasized that at this stage, leading companies have strong demand for mobile terminals, and the follow-up direction of small and medium-sized enterprises is mainly focused on mobile terminals. Moreover, the mobile terminal is more focused on the existing business system or the hard needs of people's livelihood, followed by entertainment. Although the gaming field has potential, the development tools currently provided by Huawei are not enough to support major breakthroughs in the gaming field. It relies more on the access of third-party frameworks and iterative upgrades of existing technologies.
"So in the next two years, I think most of the demand will still be in the mobile market at this stage. I think everyone needs to consider this aspect more. In the future, we may have to base on Huawei's entire R&D speed and strategy Come and see, and then look for new directions.”
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