中国の景気刺激策とドル安で流動性が高まり、ビットコインは上昇する構え

世界第2位の経済大国である中国は、新たな景気刺激策で話題になっている。中国政府は、米ドルに対する人民元の安定した価値を維持しながら、経済を刺激するために積極的に取り組んでいます。

中国の新たな経済刺激策が見出しを飾っており、ビットコインやその他の仮想通貨にプラスの影響を与える可能性があります。

中国政府は、米ドルに対する人民元の安定した価値を維持しながら、経済を刺激するために積極的に取り組んでいます。この動きは、世界市場における流動性の増加を示唆しており、ビットコインに利益をもたらす可能性があるため、非常に重要です。

Alpha Extract の最近の洞察によると、中国の戦略には、通貨の価値を大幅に下げることなく経済に流動性を注入することが含まれています。このアプローチは、他国でよく見られる通貨切り下げ戦略とは対照的であり、代わりに安定した経済成長を目指します。

それと並行して、主に連邦準備制度による継続的な財政政策と紙幣発行により、米ドルは下落している。ドルが安くなると波及効果が生じ、他の中央銀行が政策を調整する中で世界の流動性が増加する。この傾向は、流動性と投資家の信頼の向上によって繁栄するビットコインのような資産にとって、より有利な環境をもたらす可能性があります。

The Federal Reserve’s recent actions have also played a significant role in shaping the liquidity landscape. Last week, the Fed’s reserve bank credit dropped by $10 billion. Despite this reduction, collateral values have risen slightly, leading to a small uptick in the Global Liquidity Index (GLI), which now stands at $125.975 trillion—a 0.165% increase.

The Adjusted Economic Rate of Change (AE RoC) remains positive, indicating a stable economic outlook despite recent fluctuations. This stability contributes to the overall liquidity in the market, benefiting cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which are highly sensitive to changes in liquidity and market sentiment.

Investor confidence in Bitcoin has been notably high recently. During a market sell-off last week, Bitcoin experienced a temporary Coinbase discount but quickly rebounded. By the end of the week, Bitcoin had gained more than 23% from its lowest point, demonstrating its resilience and strength.

The presence of a Coinbase premium—a price difference on Coinbase compared to other exchanges—signals positive investor sentiment. This premium is often associated with increased demand and confidence from U.S. investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The combination of China’s economic measures and a weakening U.S. dollar has further bolstered Bitcoin’s market position.

A significant shift has occurred in the cryptocurrency market over the past three years. Bitcoin’s market capitalization has surged by 37%, reaching $1.15 trillion, while the market caps of other cryptocurrencies (excluding stable coins) have decreased by 11%. This growing disparity highlights Bitcoin’s dominance and underscores the potential risks of diversifying blindly into lesser-known altcoins.

The current market dynamics, driven by China’s stimulus and the weakening dollar, suggest that Bitcoin could reach new all-time highs. This emphasizes Bitcoin’s strength and potential for growth, reinforcing its position as a leading cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin has recently broken out of a micro downward trend, showing signs of a potential rally. If Bitcoin maintains its position above $58,000, it could continue to rise, potentially reaching $61,000. This level is crucial as it may trigger short liquidations, leading to further upward momentum.

The combination of China’s economic stimulus and the weakening U.S. dollar creates a favorable environment for Bitcoin’s growth. Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin’s performance around the $61,000 mark and assess how it reacts to this key level. The current trend suggests that Bitcoin is poised for significant gains in the near future.

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