낫코인(NOT)은 여전히 암호화폐 시장에서 어려움을 겪고 있습니다. 토큰 가격은 지난 30일 동안 31% 급락했으며, 네트워크 활동 및 기술 지표가 약화되면서 토큰의 미래에 대한 우려가 커지고 있습니다.
낫코인(NOT)은 암호화폐 시장에서 계속 어려움을 겪고 있습니다. 토큰 가격은 지난 30일 동안 31%의 급격한 하락을 보였으며 향후 전망에 대한 우려를 불러일으켰습니다. 이 기사에서는 Notcoin이 직면한 과제를 분석하고 궁지에 몰린 암호화폐의 미래에 대해 살펴봅니다.
대규모 토큰 소각으로 NOT의 행운이 향상되지 않음
암호화폐 프로젝트는 희소성을 창출하여 토큰의 가치를 높이는 것을 목표로 토큰 소각을 활용하여 공급을 줄이는 경우가 많습니다. 그러나 Notcoin의 경우 2억 3,300만 개의 토큰을 소각해도 수익을 되돌리기에는 충분하지 않았습니다.
지난 한 달 동안 Notcoin은 상당한 가격 하락을 경험하여 토큰의 미래 전망에 대한 의문을 제기했습니다. 토큰 소각은 자신감을 높이기는커녕 프로젝트의 네트워크 활동과 기술적 성능에 대한 광범위한 우려로 인해 무색해진 것 같습니다.
약화된 가격 모멘텀과 기술적 지표
One of the most concerning aspects of Notcoin’s current performance is its weakening momentum in the spot market. According to data from TradingView, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for NOT/USD on a 4-hour chart has been on a consistent downward trend since September 9. The RSI is a key indicator that measures the strength of price movements, and a down-trending RSI suggests increasing selling pressure.
As the RSI approaches oversold territory, it’s becoming clear that sellers are dominating the market. This points to the possibility of further price declines unless there is a substantial reversal in market sentiment.
Adding to the pressure, only 23% of Notcoin addresses are currently in profit, according to IntoTheBlock data, with a staggering 65.50% of addresses holding losses. This creates a psychological barrier for investors, many of whom may opt to cut their losses if the token’s price continues to fall.
Declining Network Activity: A Major Concern
Beyond technical analysis, the on-chain metrics paint a grim picture for Notcoin. Network activity has been on the decline, with new addresses dropping by 41.9% over the past seven days. This is a clear indication that fewer users are interested in joining the Notcoin ecosystem.
More alarmingly, active addresses have plunged by 49.2% in the same period, signaling that even existing users are losing interest in the project. A decline in active addresses often reflects diminishing user engagement, which can be disastrous for the long-term viability of a cryptocurrency.
The sharp decline in user activity has also impacted transaction volumes. Since September 13, the number of transactions on the Notcoin network has consistently hovered below 50,000. On September 17, transaction volumes hit a 7-day low of 41.23K, indicating that user participation is drying up.
Adding to the bleak outlook is the drop in whale activity. On September 16, the number of large transactions hit a 7-day low of just three, showing that even deep-pocketed investors are backing away from the project.
Notcoin’s Price Outlook: Is There Any Hope?
At the time of writing, Notcoin is trading slightly above its $0.0070 support level. The token has been stuck in a falling wedge pattern since June, consistently testing lower resistance levels. The next key support zone sits around $0.0044, and with little buying interest in the market, a slip below this level could result in further losses.
Zooming in on the 4-hour chart, it becomes clear that the token has been consolidating between $0.007 and $0.0084 throughout September. While there was a brief rally to $0.0076 on September 17, the token was quickly rejected, continuing its downward trajectory under a descending resistance line.
Without a clear catalyst to ignite buying interest, the token is likely to face ongoing pressure. Investors hoping for a turnaround may have to wait, as both technical and on-chain indicators remain bearish.
Growing Correlation with Ethereum and Bitcoin
Interestingly, Notcoin’s price movement has increasingly become correlated with that of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). According to Into The Block, the 30-day correlation between Notcoin and Ethereum has risen to 0.81, nearing its highest value of 0.85 seen in August.
This growing correlation suggests that Notcoin’s price is increasingly tied to the broader market, particularly the movements of flagship assets like Ethereum. While this could provide some stability in the event of a market-wide rally, it also means that Notcoin is vulnerable to broader crypto market downturns.
Conclusion: What’s Next for Notcoin?
Notcoin’s struggles highlight the challenges faced by smaller cryptocurrency projects in sustaining user engagement and investor confidence. Despite burning a large number of tokens, the project is still facing declining network
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