最近,Sam Altman又在達沃斯論壇上語出驚人,在大部分他出現的場合都成了全場的焦點。
他表示,現在的GPT-4模型的能力只是對未來技術所能達到可能性的一種「預覽」。
他認為,AI技術的進步將使世界變得越來越快,而人類只能看到前方幾步,而AI的能力進化速度是指數級的。
雖然科技發展的速率會非常誇張,但可能人們高估了AI技術會對世界造成的影響。
「實際上,它對世界的影響會比我們想像的小得多,對工作的改變也不會像我們預期的那麼大,」
在不久的將來,當AGI問世後,能源或許成為影響AI能力的關鍵因素。因此,Altman和微軟都投資了商業化核融合公司。
#Sam Altman認為,人們對於人工智慧未來可能變得強大到足以重塑和顛覆世界的擔憂被過度放大了。
「實際上,它對世界的影響會比我們想像的小得多,對工作的改變也不會像我們預期的那麼大。」
去年OpenAI推出的GPT-4聊天機器人引發了全球兩週的恐慌。這款最新版本的人工智慧被預測為通用人工智慧或與人類具有相同的智慧水平。
「⽽現在,⼈們會問,為什麼這麼慢?」
##Altman認為,人們不應該太擔心人工智慧會搶走工作。
在他和微軟執行長薩提亞·納德拉(Satya Nadella) 出席的一場演講活動中,Altman想要平息公眾對於AI搶走人類工作的擔憂。 「人們會繼續他們的生活,」他說。
「我們正在製造一種令人印象深刻的工具,但人類將繼續做人類的事情。」他補充道:「我們總是會發現新的事情要做,但如果人工智慧能夠比我們任何人擁有更多的認知能力,那似乎確實有些不同,」
他說。 「我們不知道接下來會發生什麼。」
他也透露,AGI——能夠全方位達到人類水平的AI系統,可能在「不遠的將來」開發出來。
而且在他看來,人類只能預見未來的「幾小步」,但是技術的發展將會是指數級的。
Altman提出了一個假設:「如果GPT-5和GPT-4的差距就像GPT-4和GPT-3那麼大,GPT-6比GPT-5又強大那麼多,如果技術的發展軌跡是這樣的話,這意味著什麼?」
在這樣的背景下,Altman強調OpenAI透過不斷迭代的方式漸進式地推出新的AI技術。這樣將有助於人類發現能夠適用於AI社會的經濟規則。
GPT-5不叫GPT-5?當Altman被問及OpenAI的下一個重要模型-GPT-5時,Altman表示,他相信下一個模型將會在許多方面超越GPT-4 ,並提供“非常令人印象深刻”的新功能。
但是,它可能不會被稱為GPT-5,因為這並不符合Altman發布產品的「風格」。
Altman沒有透露GPT-5的發佈時間:「我希望我們能夠慢慢來,確保我們能夠推出一個讓我們感到滿意並且對OpenAI來書足夠負責任的產品」
在先前的訪談中,Altman表示,由於需要解決的科學難題以及訓練新模型對算力的需求,很難確定GPT-5的具體時間表。
押注核融合解開AI能耗難題#然而,開發通用人工智慧(AI)可能需要消耗大量能源,現在這種對於能源的迫切需求更加凸顯了產生能源突破的迫切性。
Altman mentioned that he is optimistic about nuclear fusion, although it is still far away from the practical application of this technology.
He also further hinted that the craze around AI may promote investment and development in new energy.
The ouster was caught off guard, but didn’t want to mention it again
In a conversation with Bloomberg’s Brad Stone, Altman said that shortly after he was fired from OpenAI, he never wanted to I will come back to OpenAI later.
"I thought: This is crazy, I'm very distressed and unprepared, but this is reality. I immediately started thinking about what to do next, until some board meetings the next morning Members called me and I started to really consider going back. The board of directors really has all the power."
OpenAI's decision to invite Altman back, Anna Makanju, the company's vice president of global affairs, interjected It was said that it was due to pressure from employees who believed that bringing Altman back was "the right decision."
"What I want to say about OpenAI is that our team and the people around us - including investors, Microsoft, etc. - are very passionate about this mission. What a strong commitment," said the 38-year-old CEO.
"In the chaos of those days, there was a moment when I learned that about 97%/98% of the employees signed a letter saying: We are ready to resign. This will make everyone Personal equity holdings were burned. For many employees, this is almost all their property. It is really not easy for them to be willing to do this."
Use "too "Not easy" is an understatement.
After Altman left the company on November 17 and was replaced on an interim basis by Chief Technology Officer Mira Murati, more than 700 employees signed an open letter saying that if Altman and OpenAI President Greg Brockman did not Being rehired, they will choose to resign and follow them to Microsoft.
Altman said he was "very lucky" to have such strong support from shareholders. But he made it clear that supporting his employees is his main focus, adding: "Of course I want all of our shareholders to make a lot of money, but the team is my biggest priority and that means a lot to me. 》
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