Bitcoin (BTC) is on a six-month bear market, down-trending from March’s $73,800 all-time high to as low as $49,100
Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a bear market for six months, declining from March’s all-time high of $73,800 to a low of $49,100, but this trend may be changing as bullish indicators are emerging.
Several analysts have noted the clear downtrend in Bitcoin’s price, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Alan Santana highlighted the bearish nature of the charts, setting a target of $40,000 and warning of a potential crash. Credible Crypto also expressed a similar yet more optimistic view, stating that Bitcoin is not out of the woods and needs a trend shift.
However, two analyses have identified bullish indicators on BTC’s price charts, suggesting that this shift may be occurring.
According to Babenski's analysis, the trend shift is evident in Bitcoin forming its first higher low from September 6 to 8. This follows a sequence of three lower lows from a first high of $60,700 in March.
The recent price surge, reaching $64,000, could potentially mark the first higher high within a series of four lower highs, setting the stage for the trend shift. Additionally, BTC has already broken out of a lower time frame downtrend, starting from the local top on July 29.
If the trend continues as expected, BTC will confirm this short-term breakout by retesting the downtrend resistance, which should occur within a range of $58,000 to $61,000, depending on the time taken for the retracement.
At the time of this analysis, Bitcoin was trading at $63,348, but it has since dropped below this level. Babenski's analysis also identifies a triple-bottom formation on BTC’s daily relative strength index (RSI), which gauges momentum based on past performance.
Bitcoin (BTC) daily price chart. Source: TradingView / Babenski
Adding to the signals for a "trend shift," trader Xanrox expressed his belief that Bitcoin could be set to reach $130,000 per coin. Notably, Xanrox has just shifted his perception after holding a bearish bias since May, with Finbold reporting on September 11 that the analyst warned of a "huge bear market starting."
This pivot has attracted strong criticism in the comments section of his latest TradingView idea, with critics highlighting the shift and commenting negatively on it. Nonetheless, the analyst explained that traders and investors must be able to change their perceptions based on indicators and trend shifts.
Meanwhile, Van Eck CEO Jan van Eck stated in an interview with Fox Business that he foresees Bitcoin eventually reaching $350,000 if it were to attain half the market capitalization of gold, the leading commodity.
"What I'm saying is Bitcoin is growing up and will eventually be half of the total market cap of gold and that’s about $350,000."
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,600, up 4.37% in the last seven days. BTC is set to test the trend shift support for validation, which could define the cryptocurrency's movement in the coming days.
Interestingly, a crypto commentator on X recently pointed out that we are entering a phase in the market that will reward "dumb bulls" more than "smart bears," suggesting it may be time to consider positioning for a Bitcoin trend shift, eyeing higher highs and higher lows.
The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.
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